Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. ESPN+. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. The Twitter handle is a joke. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place Now its Rorys turn. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. World No. >. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Skip to navigation. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. It seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Skip to navigation. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. We hate touts. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Genesis: Justin Thomas. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. Honda: Chris Kirk. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return, The embarrassing reason Adam Scott wont be at the Phoenix Open, he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020, Tour Confidential: Tiger Woods return, designated events, Augusta changes, 'Absolutely horrendous': Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hill's juicy rough, How LIV Golf's ratings fared in its network TV debut, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, Former FedEx Cup champ a great long-shot bet at Bay Hill: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Honda Classic betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at PGA National, Defending champ is our long-shot bet at PGA National: 2023 Honda Classic odds, Tiger, Bones and bros: 13 observations from 14 straight days on Tour, Tiger Woods and one of the sweetest gestures you'll see as told by the 9-year-old recipient, Tiger Woods disciples, new LIV signees, PGA Tour money | Monday Finish, Tiger Woods is nearing and battling The End, Big names make big gear changes at the Genesis Invitational | Wall-to-Wall Equipment. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. But, crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Arnold Palmer Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. World No. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Fax: (541) 454-2753. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. At His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the past three tournaments. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 9 this week. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. We hate touts. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. His last start at the Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for round... Makes perfect sense for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial 1 Jon Rahm a. First-Round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening from... 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